Hurricane Matthew's track provided by the National Hurricane Center was
essentially spot on. For us in South Florida, we benefited by a slight
jog of the storm center to the east on Thursday that sparred Miami-Dade
and Broward Counties. Apart from the unforecasted rapid intensity
change of Matthew over the Caribbean Sea due to inner core dynamics and
high ocean heat content (and warm sea surface temperatures), intensity
forecasts were quite close to the observations along the storm track.
Well done to the NHC forecasters.