Hurricane Matthew's track provided by the National Hurricane Center was essentially spot on. For us in South Florida, we benefited by a slight jog of the storm center to the east on Thursday that sparred Miami-Dade and Broward Counties. Apart from the unforecasted rapid intensity change of Matthew over the Caribbean Sea due to inner core dynamics and high ocean heat content (and warm sea surface temperatures), intensity forecasts were quite close to the observations along the storm track. Well done to the NHC forecasters.