Hurricane Matthew Track – Post by Nick Shay, University of Miami

Hurricane Matthew's track provided by the National Hurricane Center was 
essentially spot on. For us in South Florida, we benefited by a slight 
jog of the storm center to the east on Thursday that sparred Miami-Dade 
and Broward Counties.  Apart from the unforecasted rapid intensity 
change of Matthew over the Caribbean Sea due to inner core dynamics and 
high ocean heat content (and warm sea surface temperatures), intensity 
forecasts were quite close to the observations along the storm track. 
Well done to the NHC forecasters.